Trump’s Ground War Gamble in Iran
U.S. President Donald Trump is considering a number of options to pressure Iranian leaders to...
East Asia’s Geoeconomic Transformation in the Wake of the Iran War
East Asia’s exposure to the Strait of Hormuz is both structural and asymmetric. The region...
Iran’s Asymmetric Naval Threat Debilitated, Not Annihilated
This is the second of a two-part series examining Iran’s naval power during Operation Epic...
The Islamic Republic Doesn’t Need to Win, Just Survive
The United States may win on the battlefield in Iran and still lose the war....
Mojtaba Khamenei’s Iran and the Politics of Succession
The death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has not launched a political transition in Iran. Instead,...
Operation Epic Fury and the Collapse of Iran’s Layered Naval Defense
This is the first of a two-part series examining Iran’s naval power during Operation Epic...
U.S.–China Aligned on Ends, Divided on Means in the Iran War
On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched Operation Epic Fury, a sustained...
The Caucasus Front: Azerbaijan and Iran in the Expanding Gulf War
On March 5, 2026, two drones launched by Iran struck Azerbaijan’s Nakhchivan exclave, damaging Nakhchivan...
The Islamic Republic and the Authoritarian Playbook
At a conference on Iranian-Arab relations in Doha before he became foreign minister, Abbas Araqchi...
The Gulf Shock: Strategic Consequences of the U.S.–Israel War with Iran
The most serious consequences of the U.S.–Israeli war with Iran will not occur on the...
Three Calculations, One War: Inside the Minds of the United States, Israel,...
On February 28, 2026, a joint U.S.-Israeli military operation against Iran ignited a full-scale regional...
Art in the Gray Zone: Iran’s Third Space of Resistance
When protests swept across Iran in late 2025, one image became a powerful symbol of...